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LOS ANGELES — There is a 99.9 percent chance of a magnitude-5 earthquake or higher striking within three years in the greater Los Angeles area, where a similar-sized temblor caused more than $12 million damage last year, according to a study by NASA and university researchers.

The study, released Tuesday, was based on Global Positioning System and airborne radar measurements of how Earth’s crust was deformed by the magnitude-5.1 quake on March 28, 2014, in La Habra.

By comparison, the magnitude-6.7 Northridge earthquake in 1994 left $25 billion damage, caused dozens of deaths and injured 9,000 people.

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