David Drummond has a simple explanation for why Alphabet Inc., one of the more acquisitive technology companies, has been sitting on its hands for more than a year.
“Have you seen the valuations?” Drummond, the corporate development chief for Google’s parent company, said in an interview after the Alphabet annual shareholder meeting June 8.
That’s about to change as stratospheric startup valuations fall to Earth, luring Alphabet and other big technology companies back into the market for mergers and acquisitions and forcing startup founders and investors to take offers more seriously.
Veteran Silicon Valley executive Meg Whitman feels the same. After focusing on a company reorganization, the chief executive of Hewlett Packard Enterprise Co. said she’s ready to buy because startup “valuations will be more reasonable.”
Apple CEO Tim Cook said in late April that the iPhone maker “would definitely buy something larger than we’ve bought thus far.” Salesforce.com Inc. CEO Marc Benioff said this M&A season “is the most intense, most exciting I’ve ever seen.”
Big U.S. technology companies accumulated mountains of cash for years and often use acquisitions to bring in talent or expand into new businesses. The 360 technology and telecommunications companies in the Russell 3000 Index hold a combined $870.2 billion, the most in at least 16 quarters, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. But a flood of money from venture capital firms, hedge funds and mutual funds in recent years pushed startup valuations beyond what many public acquirers were willing to pay.
Annual U.S. venture capital funding more than doubled to $63 billion from 2013 through 2015. That pushed the median valuation of startup financing rounds to $68 million in the third quarter of 2015 from $17 million at the start of 2013, venture capitalist Mark Suster estimates.
The unicorn herd has grown from 13 at the start of 2013 to more than 150, according to research firm CB Insights.
“For the last three to four years, a lot of public companies stood back and watched all the drama and bubble, bubble, bubble in Silicon Valley,” said Marc Andreessen, co-founder of venture capital firm Andreessen Horowitz. “There were a lot of deals that should have happened that just didn’t.”
Alphabet has made less than $300 million in acquisitions so far this year, and the number for 2015 was $380 million.
From 2011 through 2014, the company, then known as Google Inc., averaged more than $5 billion of deals a year. After spending more than $20 billion on acquisitions of WhatsApp and Oculus in 2014, Facebook’s deal-making has focused on much smaller targets, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
But capital has begun to flow more slowly to startups now and valuations are falling. In the first quarter, there were 14 down rounds or exits below the previous financing valuations. In the fourth quarter of 2015, there were 16. That compares with six and seven such events in the previous two quarters, according to CB Insights.
Jawbone, Foursquare and DoorDash were notable down rounds in the first quarter. Gilt Groupe, once worth more than $1 billion, sold to Hudson’s Bay Co. for $250 million this year. Yodle, once valued at $600 million, was purchased for half that in February. Good Technology sold for $425 million in September, after getting a $1.1 billion valuation previously.
This year, mutual funds including Fidelity Investments and T. Rowe Price marked down the value of their holdings in startups such as Hootsuite Media, Dropbox, CloudFlare, Cloudera, DocuSign and Zenefits.
This hasn’t sparked a rash of acquisitions of startups yet because valuations only truly reset when new financing events happen. This is a contrast to public equity markets, where technology company stocks trade every second and valuations have dropped enough to trigger an M&A revival.
LinkedIn Corp. lost almost half its market value in the first quarter, luring Microsoft Corp. on June 13 to offer $26.2 billion for the professional network, its largest acquisition ever. Despite a big premium, the per-share price was 24 percent below LinkedIn’s 52-week high.
“For the public companies the adjustment has happened. For private companies, it’s just beginning,” said Byron Deeter, a partner at Bessemer Venture Partners. He expects Google, Facebook, Alibaba Group Holding Ltd., Salesforce, Adobe Systems Inc., International Business Machines Corp. and Microsoft to be “very aggressive” acquirers.
