The National Hurricane Center on Tuesday continued to track one system in the Atlantic and one in the Caribbean that have chances to develop into the season’s next tropical depression or storm.
As of the NHC’s 8 p.m. tropical outlook, one system located in the central tropical Atlantic was a well-defined area of low pressure with disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
“This system is forecast to move generally westward to west-northwestward, and environmental conditions appear marginally conducive for gradual development by the middle to latter part of this week,” forecasters said.
8 AM Tue Oct. 15: We continue to monitor an area of low pressure () over the central tropical Atlantic, which is currently producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. This system could become a tropical depression later this week while it approaches and moves near the…
— National Hurricane Center (@NHC_Atlantic)
The NHC stated a tropical depression could form as it heads west-northwest and moves near the Caribbean’s Leeward Islands.
If it gains enough strength, it could become Tropical Storm Nadine.
Long-range forecast models show it potentially moving near Puerto Rico and over Hispaniola.
The NHC gives it a 30% chance of development in the next two days and 50% in the next seven.
The NHC is watching a broad area of low pressure in the southwestern Caribbean Sea with showers and thunderstorms.
“Some gradual development is possible if the system stays over water while it moves slowly northwestward toward Central America,” forecasters said. “Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is possible across portions of Central America later this week.”
The NHC gives it a 10% chance to develop in the next two days and 20% in the next seven days.
So far the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season has produced 13 named systems including nine hurricanes and four tropical storms. It also tracked one potential system that made landfall before becoming named.
Three of those hurricanes made Florida landfall on the Gulf Coast: Hurricanes Debby, Helene and Milton.
Hurricane season continues through Nov. 30.
