BAGHDAD — The Iraqi parliament will vote Wednesday on a pact that would allow American troops to stay in Iraq for three more years, but the government’s hopes of winning a wide margin of approval to ensure the deal’s legitimacy appeared to be fading.
Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki and his top ministers struggled Saturday to rally support for the pact, arguing that Iraqi security forces aren’t ready to stand on their own. A U.N. mandate for the American troop presence expires Dec. 31, and U.S. military operations would have to stop immediately without a new mandate or the legal cover of the pact being considered by parliament.
The defense minister warned that losing the protection of the U.S. Navy could even bring piracy to Persian Gulf waters like that preying on international shipping off the African nation of Somalia.
The vote was planned for Monday, but parliament Speaker Mahmoud al-Mashhadani announced the new date after six hours of speeches by lawmakers closed out last week’s debate on the pact.
Al-Mashhadani said the vote could be held earlier than Wednesday if the Shiite-led governing coalition and other political groups reached an understanding. That seemed unlikely after days of contentious debate and even some scuffling among legislators.
The speaker, a Sunni Arab, rated chances for the pact’s passage at “50-50.” That assessment was a harsh one for al-Maliki, who needs a broad consensus. Failure to achieve that could deepen antagonism among Iraq’s political factions, which are based on ethnic and sectarian loyalties.
The security pact emerged from nine months of tough talks between U.S. and Iraqi negotiators, and the Iraqi Cabinet approved it a week ago on the grounds that it provided a clear timetable for the withdrawal of U.S. forces after more than five years of war.
But many Iraqis see the American presence as a smear on national sovereignty.
On Saturday, several lawmakers said it made no sense to approve a deal with a U.S. administration that has less than two months in office and argued a better option would be to negotiate a new pact once Barack Obama becomes president.
