KANSAS CITY, Mo. — Decades of statistics on infant abductions in the U.S. suggest one of the least likely scenarios in last week’s disappearance of a Kansas City baby is that a stranger broke into her home and took the child as her family slept.
But the numbers also lead national experts to think that if 10-month-old Lisa Irwin were snatched from her crib in the middle of the night, as her parents told investigators, she is likely still alive.
Strangers who kidnap infants or young children, though rare, often do so because they want a child of their own, not because they intend to hurt or kill the child, said David Finkelhor, director of the Crimes Against Children Research Center at the University of New Hampshire.
“The recovery rate for infants is very, very high. There is real hope here,” said Ernie Allen, president of the National Center for Missing and Exploited Children in Arlington, Va.
But experts acknowledge investigators often focus on close relatives when a baby goes missing, in part because statistics show that far more infants and young children are killed by a parent than a stranger.
“Suspicion almost always falls heavily on the parents, especially when it’s young kids,” Finkelhor said. “Fifteen hundred parents kill their kids every year, and that’s heavily focused on the under 1 year of age category.”
Allen said his organization has handled 278 infant-abduction cases during his nearly three decades with the group. Only 13 cases involved a stranger coming into a home and taking a baby, and all but one of those children were recovered unharmed.
Lisa’s parents, Jeremy Irwin and Deborah Bradley, reported their daughter missing early Tuesday. Relations between investigators and the couple chilled late Thursday, when police announced the parents were no longer cooperating with detectives. The parents insisted that they only needed a break that night from incessant police questioning.
The next morning, Bradley told The Associated Press that police had accused her of being involved in her daughter’s disappearance, which she vehemently denies, and told her she failed a lie-detector test.
The couple told AP that police have treated them like suspects, and Bradley said detectives told her: “‘You did it. You did it. And we have nothing.”‘
Investigators said they have no solid leads or suspects despite an extensive search. Hundreds of local, state and federal agents spent days scouring the family’s quiet northeast Kansas City neighborhood, nearby woods and a landfill.
Allen and Finkelhor said that with little to go on, it’s natural for investigators to turn their focus to Bradley, who was the last person to see her little girl before she went missing. Finkelhor noted that in some cases, parents have concocted stories about a kidnapping after accidentally killing their child instead of facing the tragedy.
But Allen cautioned against jumping to conclusions, despite the long odds against a stranger abduction.
“Once the spotlight focuses on parental wrongdoing, the public perception is this is a murder,” he said. “The focus goes away from the little girl and goes to the parent.”
Reward to be offered
KANSAS CITY, Mo. — The parents of a missing 10-month-old Kansas City girl are setting up a reward, hoping it could lead to information in the case.
A family spokesman said Saturday that Lisa Irwin’s parents are working to establish a trust fund. Spokesman Mike Lerette also said Lisa’s parents will be giving fewer media interviews because they want full attention on finding their daughter.
Police have no named suspects or solid leads in the case. The Associated Press
