San Francisco – One recent summer day, eager homebuyers crowded into a small, one-bedroom condominium in San Francisco’s South of Market neighborhood, eager for the chance to pay $295,000 for an apartment measuring less than 600 square feet, parking not included.
Despite its small size and less-than-perfect location, the cozy apartment is brand-new, and it’s a steal: A similar unit in the same building is offered at $479,000.
But to get into this low-priced home, buyers must leave their fate to a roll of the dice. Or, more precisely, the pulling of their name out of the proverbial hat.
Here, in the land of the $726,900 median-priced home, people earning an average income can afford about 1 square inch of house, so they either remain renters, call on more affluent family members for help to buy, or vie with other desperate owner-wannabes to buy units at below-market rates through city programs aimed at first-time buyers.
Of course, there are far more people seeking affordable homes than units available.
“There’s no question that the demand far outstrips the supply of these programs. I’d be reluctant to even put a number on by how much,” said Matt Franklin, director of the Mayor’s Office of Housing, which administers the city’s various first-time homebuyer programs. “We have a very severe affordability challenge in this town.
Currently, about 12 percent of households in San Francisco can afford an average-priced home,” he said.
That 12 percent figure assumes buyers put 30 percent of income toward annual housing costs, he noted. In some markets these days, homeowners are paying up to 50 percent of income toward housing.
The median-priced home in the San Francisco Bay Area rose to $726,900 in the second quarter, a 12.3 percent rise from $647,300 in the same quarter a year ago, according to the National Association of Realtors.
When it comes to affordability, San Francisco’s not alone.
Nationwide, a typical first-time homebuyer earned just 70 percent of the income needed to buy an average starter home in the second quarter, down from earning about 77 percent in the first quarter, the National Realtors Association said in August, assuming a 10 percent down payment.
Nationwide, the median starter home cost $177,200 in the second quarter, and the typical first-time homebuyer could afford a home costing $124,200, according to NAR.
To promote homeownership, cities nationwide have instituted various first-time homebuyer programs, including second loans that don’t have to be paid until the unit is sold, below-market-rate units offered through lotteries and other aid programs.
In the recent lottery for the South of Market condo, after more than a hundred people milled through the apartment, only 11 filed the necessary applications – one to prequalify for a loan and one for the city program – to be entered in the lottery.
On lottery day, which took place at the condo, the only applicant to show up in person came in at No. 7 on the list. The 40-something woman didn’t want to give her name for this story, but she said this was her fourth lottery attempt since prequalifying for a loan seven months ago.
