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WARSAW, Poland — An exit poll predicted Sunday that nationalist opposition candidate Andrzej Duda will win the most votes in the first round of Poland’s presidential election and will face incumbent Bronislaw Komorowski in a May 24 runoff.

In a surprise prediction for the vote that took place Sunday, Duda, who is no fan of the European Union, is expected to capture 34.5 percent of the vote to Komorowski’s 33.1 percent, according to the Ipsos poll published by the private TVN24 and the state-run PAP news agency.

The prediction suggested a rising dissatisfaction with the ruling pro-EU establishment led by the center-right and pro-business Civic Platform party, which has been in power since 2007. Komorowski, who has served since 2010 and made harmony his trademark, called for a debate with Duda and vowed to present new reforms.

“The result of the exit poll is a serious warning for the entire team in power,” Komorowski said.

The Associated Press

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